Tuesday, July 29, 2008

The Housing Crisis is Far From Over

The Mess That Greenspan Made had some interesting charts up last week that got me thinking. First, here are the charts:





On both of these charts, note that the pace of sales as stabilized. In the case of new homes for a few months and in the case of existing homes for about 10 months. So, do these charts mean the housing market is starting to stabilize? Not yet:

This graph is from Calculated Risk:



So long as prices are in free fall (or cliff diving) we're nowhere near out of the woods.

3 comments:

Anonymous said...

Looks like shrub is going to double-or even triple-his old man when it comes to falling home prices! Not bad for a reformed drunk!

Pinku-Sensei said...

I think that's the theme of W's presidency--beat Dad in every way possible, both good and bad.

Anonymous said...

Inventory numbers are suspect (quite the understatement) - this is peak selling season - EOY will be fugly...